Sunday, October 29, 2023

Ideas That Changed My Life

You spend years trying to learn new stuff but then look back and realize that maybe like 10 big ideas truly changed how you think and drive most of what you believe.

A few of mine:

Everyone belongs to a tribe and underestimates how influential that tribe is on their thinking. There is little correlation between climate change denial and scientific literacy. But there is a strong correlation between climate change denial and political affiliation. That’s an extreme example, but everyone has views persuaded by identity over pure analysis. There’s four parts to this:

Tribes are everywhere: Countries, states, parties, companies, industries, departments, investment styles, economic philosophies, religions, families, schools, majors, credentials, Twitter communities.

People are drawn to tribes because there’s comfort in knowing others understand your background and goals.

Tribes reduce the ability to challenge ideas or diversify your views because no one wants to lose support of the tribe.

Tribes are as self-interested as people, encouraging ideas and narratives that promote their survival. But they’re exponentially more influential than any single person. So tribes are very effective at promoting views that aren’t analytical or rational, and people loyal to their tribes are very poor at realizing it.

Psychologist Geoffrey Cohen once showed Democratic voters supported Republican proposals when they were attributed to fellow Democrats more than they supported Democratic proposals attributed to Republicans (and the opposite for Republican voters). This kind of stuff happens everywhere, in every field, if you look for it. 

Everything’s been done before. The scenes change but the behaviors and outcomes don’t. Historian Niall Ferguson’s plug for his profession is that “The dead outnumber the living 14 to 1, and we ignore the accumulated experience of such a huge majority of mankind at our peril.” The biggest lesson from the 100 billion people who are no longer alive is that they tried everything we’re trying today. The details were different, but they tried to outwit entrenched competition. They swung from optimism to pessimism at the worst times. They battled unsuccessfully against reversion to the mean. They learned that popular things seem safe because so many people are involved, but they’re most dangerous because they’re most competitive. Same stuff that guides today, and will guide tomorrow. History is abused when specific events are used as a guide to the future. It’s way more useful as a benchmark for how people react to risk and incentives, which is pretty stable over time.

 

Multi-discipline learning: There’s as much to learn about your field from other fields than there is within your field. Most professions, even ones that look wildly different, live under the umbrella of “Understanding how people respond to incentives, how to convincingly solve their problems, and how to work with others who are difficult to communicate with and/or disagree with you.” Once you see the roots shared by most fields you realize there’s a sink of information you’ve been ignoring that can help you make better sense of your own profession. I didn’t appreciate how important communication is to providing investment advice before reading about how many doctors struggle to communicate effectively with patients, leading to patients who don’t stick with treatment plans and are resistant to lifestyle change. There are millions of these dots to connect. Probing beyond the confines of your day job is more fun anyways.

 

Self-interest can lead people to believe and justify nearly anything. Think about businesses trying to survive competition being run by people trying to prove their career worth, and the incentive to run with the option that provides the cleanest path to the next win is huge, even when that option is something you wouldn’t accept in less-stressful circumstances. I have seen investors justify strategies and sales techniques they fiercely argued against at previous employers, coming around the moment their career depended on it. These are good, honest people. But self-interest is a freight train of persuasion. When you accept how powerful it is you become more skeptical of promotion, and more empathetic to those doing the promoting.

 

Room for error is underappreciated and misunderstood. It’s usually viewed as a conservative hedge, used by those who don’t want to take much risk. But when used appropriately it’s the opposite. Room for error lets you stick around long enough to let the odds of benefiting from a low-probability outcome fall in your favor. Since the biggest gains occur the most infrequently – either because they don’t happen often or because they take time to compound – the person with enough room for error in part of their strategy to let them endure hardship in the other part of their strategy has an edge over the person who gets wiped out, game over, insert more tokens, at the first hiccup.

 

Sustainable sources of competitive advantage. This might be the most important topic in business and investing because other than luck it is the only path to long-term success. The only truly sustainable sources of competitive advantage I know of are:


Learn faster than your competition.


Empathize with customers more than your competition.


Communicate more effectively than your competition.


Be willing to fail more than your competition.


Wait longer than your competition.


Everything else – intelligence, design, insight – gets smashed to pieces by competitors who are almost certainly as smart as you.


Your personal experiences make up maybe 0.00000001% of what’s happened in the world but maybe 80% of how you think the world works. People believe what they’ve seen happen exponentially more than what they read about has happened to other people, if they read about other people at all. We’re all biased to our own personal history. Everyone. If you’ve lived through hyperinflation, or a 50% bear market, or were born to rich parents, or have been discriminated against, you both understand something that people who haven’t experienced those things never will, but you’ll also likely overestimate the prevalence of those things happening again, or happening to other people.


Start with the assumption that everyone is innocently out of touch and you’ll be more likely to explore what’s going on through multiple points of view, instead of cramming what’s going on into the framework of your own experiences. It’s hard to do. It’s uncomfortable when you do. But it’s the only way to get closer to figuring out why people behave like they do.

 

Source –

https://collabfund.com/blog/ideas-that-changed-my-life/

Sunday, October 15, 2023

Amp It Up

In this memo, I outline Amp It Up — the management philosophy I apply to Write of Passage. It has three pillars: increase the tempo, raise the standards, and narrow the focus. When you Amp It Up, people radiate ambition, urgency, boldness, and Hearts on Fire.

How do you build a high-performing company? 

 

Frank Slootman has answers. He’s led three companies to their IPOs: Data Domain, Service Now, and Snowflake. Slootman turned around these high-potential companies by implementing his “Amp It Up” philosophy, which he’s spoken about in his book, this article, and most of his podcasts. 

 

Amp It Up has three pillars: increase the tempo, raise the standards, and narrow the focus. 

 

This memo is a synopsis of his best ideas, with a particular focus on how we can apply them at Write of Passage. I’ve also shared this memo with friends and fellow founders outside the organization. 

 

Slootman’s Amp It Up Philosophy

1. Increase the Tempo

Without effective leadership, companies become sluggish as they grow. Malaise sets in. People become risk-averse. “I’ll do it right now” turns into “I’ll do it tomorrow,” which turns into “I’ll get it to you next week,” which turns into “Oops, I forgot about that.” 

 

It’s a leader’s job to prevent stasis. You have to inject the organization with energy and intensity. 

 

When people say they’ll get back to you in a week, ask them why not tomorrow or the next day? It doesn’t matter if your request is unreasonable. The point of the question is to increase people’s sense of urgency. When you change an organization’s tempo, people demand more from each other, which is the essence of a high-performing organization. 

 

Increasing the tempo isn’t just about speed. It’s also about rejecting incrementalism.

 

People who work incrementally inch forward instead of taking bold leaps. They make timid decisions because they’re risk-averse. They work from a place of fear because screw-ups at most companies are so severely punished. But if you only aim for marginal improvements, you’ll only make marginal progress. Incrementalism will kill your company, gradually sinking it into stasis and stagnation.

Avoiding risk is the riskiest strategy of all. Companies, like living organisms, need to constantly reinvent themselves.1

 

Push people to achieve their goals way faster than they think is possible. The need for speed inspires innovation. Ask somebody to do something 20% faster, and they’ll use conventional strategies. Linear progress is the best you’ll get. But if you ask them to do something 2,000% faster, they’ll have to question all their base-level assumptions and innovate.

 

Here are some questions we can ask, all of which are useful because they’re so dramatic:  

 

How can you achieve your 10-year vision in the next six months?

If we could only work one day per week, how would we change our approach? 

What’s the most fun project we could possibly take on? 

If all our existing marketing channels disappeared, how would we reach customers? 

What product feature would justify a 10x increase in prices?  

If we had 10x the money, what would we do differently?

The slower a company moves, the more people suffer from the “End of History Illusion,” where they think the company’s reached its apex of progress. Speed of innovation shows people how radically different the future can be. Fighting The End of History Illusion is why Jeff Bezos wrote “It’s Always Day 1” in his first shareholder letter. At Amazon, he worked in a building called Day 1, and he took the name with him when he moved offices.2

 

Speed matters in business. Day 1 companies make quick, high-quality decisions. Day 2 companies make them slowly. Day 2 companies are slow because they’re culturally uncomfortable making decisions with limited information. Bezos says most decisions should be made with roughly 70% of the information you wish you had. If you’re always waiting for 90%, you’ll move too slowly. And besides, the costs of being wrong are usually less than you think, so long as you quickly course-correct.3

 

Increasing the tempo isn’t just about working harder. You need to change how you work too. The need for speed is one reason why we have a meeting-skeptical culture at Write of Passage. A team member recently called for a kickoff meeting to initiate a production project. I immediately jumped in. Why meet in five days when you can spend five minutes writing down what assets you need, and start the project 24 hours later? In the end, we finished the project before the kickoff meeting would’ve even happened. 

 

When a meeting needs to happen, we make sure it happens well. Preparedness enables speed, which is why every meeting needs an agenda linked in the invite. If there’s a meeting on my calendar without one, I’ll cancel it. 

 

A clear vision is another way to fight incrementalism. The early slogan for the iPod mini was “1,000 songs in your pocket.” The clearer and more ambitious the vision, the less you can succeed with incremental thinking. This is one reason why we value clear writing so much at Write of Passage. When an organization’s mission is well defined, people feel it down to their bones. They’ll fight for the company. 

 

Think of the SpaceX employees who move their families to Brownsville, Texas so they can someday make humanity a multi-planetary species. Incremental thinking won’t get people to Mars either. The grandeur of the mission led SpaceX to build reusable rockets. Until then, astronauts only wanted to fly in new rockets. They didn’t trust ones that’d been used before. Now they prefer ones that’ve been used before because they’re “battle-tested.” Launches are also an order of magnitude cheaper now that you don’t need to build a new rocket every time you want to go to space.

 

Move fast, but don’t rush. Compress cycle times. Everything speeds up once the cadence changes. With speed comes energy and a culture of Hearts on Fire.

 

2. Raise the Standards

I’ll never forget a conference I once attended, hosted by Stripe CEO Patrick Collison. When I showed up, I was handed a white card with eight bullet points. The first seven had standard information like meal times and lodging directions. It was the point at the bottom that caught my attention. It said, “If anything isn’t impeccably perfect, please contact me immediately.”

 

Most conferences would’ve written “if something is wrong.” Patrick’s standard was much higher. If this was the standard he brought to a casual weekend conference, imagine the one he brings to Stripe. 

 

Steve Jobs had the same high standards. He had two classifications for quality: “insanely great” or “total shit.” There was no middle ground. A company’s propensity to cave to the creep of mediocrity is determined by what they deem acceptable. Leaders must refuse mediocre outcomes. 

 

People usually know when their work is mediocre. When people present projects to Slootman, he asks questions like: “Are you thrilled with this? Do you absolutely love it?” If people don’t respond with raging enthusiasm, he asks them to try again. 

 

Most managers set a low bar with murky expectations. Slootman sets a high bar with clear standards of success and failure. 

 

Slootman’s compensation philosophy reflected his performance culture. All of his employees have a compensation review at the end of every quarter. Bonuses are divided into a pool, depending on how well the company performs. His managers aren’t allowed to pass out an equal share. He insists on a bell-shaped distribution curve to reflect the delta between high and low performers. The problem is that, at most companies, the A-players are under-paid. To pay your top performers more, you have to pay low-performing ones less. We’re going to adopt similar principles at Write of Passage.

 

At most companies, employees can receive bonuses without earning them. Bonuses are paid so predictably that people effectively see them as base pay. This, Slootman says, is the sure sign of an “Entitlement Culture.”  

 

Bonuses aren’t guaranteed because the company’s success isn’t either. Market forces are always shifting. Upstarts are trying to displace you. Competitors are gunning for your market share. If instability makes people uncomfortable, they belong at the California DMV, not at an Amp’d Up organization.

 

3. Narrow the Focus

You can’t increase the tempo and raise standards unless you also narrow the focus. 

 

This principle is the most misunderstood. If you don’t take it seriously, you’ll think Slootman is telling you to work so hard that you become a slave, which isn’t the case. 

 

Focus goes against our human nature. Most teams are scatter-brained. They refuse to commit and spread themselves thinly across too many priorities (many of which are ill-defined). Your job as a leader is to direct people to what’s ultimately important. 

 

Narrow focus is also the result of clear thinking. It’s the leadership’s job to distill things down to their essentials. If leaders can’t communicate priorities at the top, how distorted will the thinking be for the rest of the team? 

 

At Write of Passage, we say “projects are power laws.” The most important projects are orders of magnitude more important than average ones. It’s the job of leadership to identify pressure points in the company. To relieve tension in the body, massage therapists apply pressure to specific areas. When they find the spot, they don’t need much pressure to make a big impact.  

 

Murky thinking prevents prioritization. Just as knowing human anatomy helps a massage therapist find pressure points, you’ll only know what to prioritize if you know the anatomy of your company. 

 

Left to their own devices, people will work on easy and sexy (but incremental) problems. You can’t let this happen. You have to keep people focused on the levers that move the business the most. 

 

Early on in the history of Write of Passage, we were guided by a quote from Jeff Weinstein at Stripe: “Solve problems 1 and 2, and let the other 98 burn.” There will always be too much to fix. Stripe co-founder John Collison once advised people to “be stuck more.” It’s good to ruminate on really hard problems. But if you’re averse to being stuck, you won’t persist through the pain that leads to an important breakthrough. 

 

People resist focus because they can’t decide what’s important. Prioritization scares them. They get Shiny Object Syndrome, where they flock to the hot new thing instead of doubling, tripling, and quadrupling down on what ultimately matters. Everybody’s scope will expand unless you constrain it with clear and concrete goals.

 

My friend Joe, the principal of Alpha School, says his three commitments over and over again because repetition is the twin sister of prioritization. If you can’t remember it, you can’t prioritize it. This is why nearly every successful entrepreneur masters the art of repetition. They’re memelords — they identify the most important variables for their company, codify them into principles, and relentlessly repeat them without ever losing chutzpah. The right mantras, said repeatedly, are mind-viruses. They change society by changing minds.

 

Prioritize prioritization. Move faster by focusing more. A company isn’t focused enough unless it’s heartbroken about the projects it’s rejecting (this is good writing advice too).

 

The sharper the point of an object, the faster it can travel. The Concorde had the sharpest point of all and is the fastest commercial jetliner of all-time. Bullet trains are the same. Focus makes organizations fast by making them pointy. Every additional project creates drag. Yes, every single one.

 

Anything that departs from your core mission is a distraction. Even the most well-intended projects have hidden costs. During early Q&As at Facebook, employees would ask Zuckerberg if the company could support nonprofits directly. He always said no. Supporting them wasn’t their comparative advantage. And besides, the nonprofits would all use Facebook once it became successful, which would help them in the long run. 

 

Force people to answer questions like: If we could only commit to one thing for the rest of the year, what would it be?

 

When I meet with multiple members of the same team, I like to ask: “What’s the team’s priority?” It takes two minutes. The more aligned the answers, the more focused the team (make sure to ask everybody separately though). If there’s too much variance among the answers, I know the team isn’t focused enough.

 

Slootman’s Ways of Working

Slootman’s philosophy is guided by a few more heuristics. Though he runs B2B companies, every principle I’ve selected below wholeheartedly applies to Write of Passage. 

 

They reflect our weaknesses as a company, such as our fear of confrontation, hesitation to let go of poor performers, and our tendency to take on too many projects at once. Following them will also help us build a culture of Radical Candor.

 

Leadership is Confrontation

Slootman was once asked to talk about a confrontation that stands out. To which, he replied: “My whole life is confrontation.” 

 

To be clear, a confrontation is not an argument or an attack. Confrontations are about facing the problem head-on. They should be calm and respectful, but direct. Each one should be done with High Care, High Empathy, and Low Emotion. Arguments are just the opposite. They’re born out of Low Care, Low Empathy, and High Emotion. 

 

Leaders are always confronting people because a company can only Amp It Up if its leadership upholds the quality bar. Every meeting, every encounter, and every confrontation is a chance to step up the pace, raise expectations, demand excellence, and narrow the plane of attack. Investigate problems quickly. Run towards BS. Demand clarity when you sense confusion. 

 

Yes, it is confrontational — but confronting people and problems is part and parcel of effective leadership. 

 

Work Sequentially

Less parallelization, more prioritization. 

 

Companies usually widen their surface area of attack as they grow. They distract themselves by taking on too many projects at once. Taken in isolation, each one is seen as only a small addition with no opportunity costs. But collectively, the organization loses its focus, until employees feel like they’re swimming in glue. 

 

Working sequentially is one solution. Say you have ten projects you want to complete. One strategy is to start all of them at the same time. On the other end of the spectrum, you can work on one at a time, and move onto the next project only after you’ve finished the preceding one (which Slootman calls “working sequentially”). 

 

Doing so forces you to prioritize. By encouraging debate about what projects to pursue and the tradeoffs that’ll result from such decisions, it clarifies what’s important in the organization.

 

Operators Should Run Strategy

When we were hiring for a Chief Operations Officer, we spoke with one candidate who proudly called himself a strategist. He didn’t want to do any of the actual work. He wanted to talk and whiteboard instead. We decided not to hire him because we wanted more of a hands-on contributor. And boy, I’m glad that’s what we did. 

 

Strategy is important, but you shouldn’t hire “strategists.” Operators should set the strategy instead. The problem is that operators and strategists have misaligned incentives. Slootman says that great operators live, breathe, and own their strategies. 

 

Strategy begins at the top. The Chief Executive Officer is the Chief Strategy Officer too. Many companies employ people who do nothing but set strategy. They’re effectively in-house consultants with no operational responsibilities. When the going gets tough, some of them even delegate their strategy to suits at consulting firms who can tell them what to do.

 

Hire Drivers, Not Passengers

Every company makes hiring mistakes. Most first-time founders fire poor performers too slowly. It’s not the C-players who kill your organization. Everybody knows they need to go. It’s the B-players who destroy it. They’re the mediocre ones who are good enough to keep around, but they’re lethargic. They slow organizations down by making them bulky. 

 

And the decline doesn’t just come from slowness. It comes from a failure to uphold the quality bar too. Standards fall. The work loses its magic. When commitment to excellence fades, the top performers look for other jobs.

 

B-players are cockroaches. Like carbon monoxide, they unknowingly kill you while you’re asleep. 

 

By keeping B-players, you’re repelling A-players. People resent slackers at work just as they resented slackers on group projects in school. High-performers want to work with people who are as talented and committed to the mission as they are. Being overly compassionate with under-performing employees in the short term leads to destruction in the long term.

 

Slootman makes the distinction between drivers and passengers.

 

Passengers are people who ride the company’s momentum without contributing to it. They’re absent and indifferent. They rarely take initiative or provide input. Since their survival strategy is to avoid trouble, they don’t push back against faulty logic. And they are dead weight. 

 

Once you remove the passengers, the pace and energy increase. As somebody said to me recently, “I’ve never fired somebody and not had their replacement be better.”

 

Hire drivers. They get satisfaction from making things happen, not from blending in. They increase the tempo, confront poor performance, are quick to stand up for the company when something’s not right, and feel a strong sense of ownership. This is why, at Write of Passage, we will forever reward clear and concrete feedback, especially when it’s delivered with care.

 

How the Amp It Up System Fits Together

Slootman’s system is a triad. Each pillar amplifies the other ones. Slootman asks: “How much faster do you run? How much higher are your standards? How hard do you focus?”

 

Narrow focus is the hardest one to do. If you try to increase the tempo and raise standards without narrowing your focus, you’ll burn yourself out and ship sloppy work. Do way less, but do it faster and better. 

 

Don’t fully optimize for one variable at the expense of the others. Solely obsess over speed and you’ll compromise high standards. A lack of context, documentation, clear communication, and getting the right people involved can lead to things breaking and negative downstream effects. If you feel like speed and quality are in tension, you should probably narrow the focus. 

 

On the topic of focus, I once heard a story about a billionaire who used to share a different message every time he spoke to his company. He employed smart people and thought they wanted novelty. That changed when one day, a trusted mentor looked him in the eye and said, “You’re doing it totally wrong. Pick a simple message and say it over and over again.” 

 

His next all-hands talk was at the company holiday party. He was so nervous to repeat a simple message and potentially look like an idiot in front of the entire company that he got wasted before he went on stage. But once he got up there, he stuck to the plan. His message was simple enough to summarize in one sentence. People loved it. Since then, he hasn’t stopped repeating the same message over and over again. 25 years after the holiday party talk, he insists that a key to his success is sloganizing everything and repeating the same basic mantras.

 

Amp It Up is one of those mantras for us at Write of Passage. When you apply the Amp It Up philosophy, people radiate ambition, urgency, boldness, and Hearts on Fire. Increase the tempo, raise the standards, narrow the focus.

 

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